If C4D and Cineversity plugins were as important to my business as it appears it is for yours then I’d swallow getting a subscription. But I’d damn well make sure any IP I generated with it was exported in a way that I could use it should I no longer use C4D.
If Maxon had addressed the (decade) long standing issue of object management performance and lack of professional level caching then I would still be using C4D, as much as I despise subscriptions I’d probably be signed up right now! But they haven’t and there doesn’t look like there’s any light at the end of those tunnels. If Maxon can fix those two massive performance bottlenecks C4D could become a truly spectacular application again but the longer it takes to sort the issues out will mean many more people will have drifted away…for good.
A very light R release may well be part of the overall planned ‘animosity’ towards Perpetual Licences. If I were a betting man I’d expect the S release to be a lot bigger. If this pattern repeats over a couple more years you can take it as read this is a business decision to push more towards Subscriptions. I predicted this would happen in the original Subscriptions thread that’s now deleted.
Quite a large proportion of the C4D userbase could be accurately described as ‘Indie’ so if they offered an Indie license McGavran would be in danger of being hauled in front of the board to explain why C4D income has plummeted overnight. Sadly, I don’t think an Indie license that is usable for professional work like Houdini’s is ever going to happen but if it did it would be next to useless or aimed at hobbyists (nothing wrong with that BTW!).
Maxon’s earnings are higher than they’ve ever been and buying Redshift and RedGiant has diversified Maxon’s income away from a reliance on C4D users so if C4D does do a Lightwave Maxon will still coin in the moolah with RS and RG.