Bill Buxton is a veteran researcher in the human-computer interaction discipline, a pioneer of some of the most interesting and influential user interface work. As a chief scientist at Alias Wavefront (previous developers of what is now Autodesk Maya), he has had a front row seat to the developments in the computer graphics industry. In 2005, he wrote an article in IEEE Computer Graphics & Application summarizing his thoughts on where computer graphics was going, and whether or not the developments at the time were promising.
Difficult and stagnant
Even in 2005, computer graphics as an industry seemed to be waning. Buxton notes that, whether in business or in research, development has stagnated and interest had diminished. As he predicts,
Unless there is a fundamental change in how we think about things, the industry will continue to stagnate, with the key players (Avid, Alias, Discreet, and so on) just ﬁghting for market share, rather than building and participating in healthy market growth.Almost a decade later, this prediction has been borne out. All the listed vendors have since left the market, selling off their 3D divisions or being acquired by larger companies. One assumes that the "fundamental change" in how the industry thinks about itself has yet to happen."