Originally Posted by hypercube
That's basically what I was trying to describe, as being the situation. I think it has a fair chance of being true. And it was enough in the trailer to guess, even though it was all just random and "teasing", there were too many clues.
I will be curious to see what is right in the end, or if they tip their hand the rest of the way in the subsequent trailers and TV spots where they always show more and more and more until the release.
Funny thing is things like the first amazing teaser for Prometheus, once you see the movie, or knowing the plot beforehand, literally everything is shown in it, third act, finale, etc. it's just whether you know what's connecting those things together enough to guess it. Even just knowing the two ships collided was kind of too much.
No matter what, when a trailer shows certain scenes, I usually can't let myself forget them when watching the movie later, in a "this scene from the trailer hasn't happened yet, so it must be this about to happen" sort of way. Maybe I need to drink or smoke out more to have a less reliable memory.
I do think it takes a certain type of viewer to sort of ... do what we do which is to make conjecture and kind of think of what would happen based only on the trailer.
A couple of things to note are that Oblivion's trailer is 2 minutes and 30 seconds. At that length you need quite a bit of reveals (otherwise it becomes about nothing). I think in some ways, other than the length, they were sort of painted in a corner. If you make it seem like there's no people on Earth, then it becomes a question of "What's Tom Cruise doing on that planet to begin with? What is this? A graphics demo?"
I do guess (that's the keyword here) almost all the reveals they chose actually occur in the first act. The clever thing in this trailer is you are not told more about the war, the aliens that attacked the Earth, the pretense of that conflict... So there's a lot more that can be told.
So in that sense, you are left, sort of, with that statement the Masked Magician says in "Secrets of Magic Revealed". That the real magic is not in the secret behind the trick but how the magician pulls off the trick. It's in his dexterity that you see the magic.
And to be fair, I'm not sure Oblivion even falls in that category.. I'm not sure it's THAT predictable.
Like you said.. Fair chance what you and I were guessing at could be true.
But see? Now you're saying you look forward to seeing if you got it right...
That means the promo is Mission Accomplished.